WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Saturday, 24.02.2018 18:00
 
Tonight

Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Partly Cloudy
Partly Cloudy
Monday

Snow
Snow
Monday
night
Snow
Snow
Tuesday

Snow
Snow
Tuesday
night
Snow
Snow
Wednesday

Snow
Snow
Wednesday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
<2 mm. <2 mm.
<1 cm.
<5 mm.
<2 cm.
<2 mm.
<1 cm.
<2 mm.
<1 cm.
Low: -1° High: 4° Low: -1° High: 2° Low: -2° High: 2° Low: -3° High: 0° Low: -4°



























 

WeatherUnderground : Springfield
Sunday Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday
A mainly sunny sky A few clouds Partly to mostly cloudy Chance snow Snow
A mainly sunny sky A few clouds Partly to mostly cloudy Chance snow Snow
3°C -2°C 2°C -4°C 1°C
         
Tuesday Night Wednesday Wednesday Night Thursday Thursday Night
Chance snow Overcast Cloudy and becoming windy Cloudy with gusty winds Windy with snow developing
Chance snow Overcast Cloudy and becoming windy Cloudy with gusty winds Windy with snow developing
-4°C -1°C -4°C 0°C -2°C
         

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 02-24-18 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
02-24-18 4   6 -2   -1 3   4 -1   -1 2   3 -3   -2 1   2 -4   -3
02-23-18 4 4.3 6 -2 -2.1 0 4   7 -1   -1 2   4 -2   0 2   2 -3   -1
02-22-18 4 5.9 7 -1 -1.6 0 4 4.3 6 -2 -2.1 0 4   6 -1   0 2   4 -2   -1
02-21-18 7 6.7 7 1 0.9 1 5 5.9 7 -1 -1.6 1 4 4.3 6 -2 -2.1 0 4   7 -1   0
02-20-18 7 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 9 2 0.9 1 5 5.9 7 -1 -1.6 1 4 4.3 7 -1 -2.1 1
02-19-18 9 10.2 10 7 6.5 8 8 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 8 0 0.9 1 6 5.9 8 -2 -1.6 1
02-18-18 11 12.1 11 4 5.5 6 9 10.2 12 7 6.5 7 8 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3 6 6.7 9 -1 0.9 2
02-17-18 10 10.9 10 1 -0.9 2 11 12.1 11 6 5.5 8 10 10.2 12 4 6.5 7 7 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3
02-16-18 10 10.6 11 0 -0.9 2 10 10.9 11 2 -0.9 2 9 12.1 9 6 5.5 8 9 10.2 12 3 6.5 8
02-15-18 9 11.3 10 -1 -0.3 0 9 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 10 10.9 11 2 -0.9 2 9 12.1 12 3 5.5 7
02-14-18 8 6.8 9 5 4.9 7 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 10 3 -0.9 1
02-13-18 5 6.1 6 -1 2.7 -1 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 10 0 -0.9 1
02-12-18 7 8.6 7 1 0.4 2 4 6.1 7 -2 2.7 0 6 6.8 8 5 4.9 4 10 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0
02-10-18 8 8.2 9 3 -0.9 6 6 8.6 7 -1 0.4 0 7 6.1 7 1 2.7 1 5 6.8 7 -1 4.9 1
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 12 12 10 7 9 11 9 6 9 10 8 5 9 7 5 6
% Succ 92.3   92.3 76.9   53.8 75.0   91.7 75.0   50.0 81.8   90.9 72.7   45.5 90.0   70.0 50.0   60.0
Ave Error 1.1   0.9 1.3   2.1 1.2   1.2 1.4   1.6 1.0   1.3 1.3   1.8 1.1   1.3 2.3   2.1
Net Error -0.9   0.1 0.4   1.6 -1.1   0.4 0.4   1.0 -0.8   0.4 0.3   1.3 -1.1   0.8 -0.6   1.4
Std Dev 0.6   0.7 1.1   1.2 0.8   0.8 1.1   1.2 0.9   1.0 1.1   1.4 1.0   1.1 1.7   1.5

Afternoon

Updated: 02-24-18 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
02-24-18 -1   -1 3   4 -2   -1 2   2 -4   -2 2   2 -4   -3 -1   0
02-23-18 -2 -2.1 -1 4 5.9 7 -1   0 2   4 -1   -1 2   3 -3   -2 1   2
02-22-18 -1 -1.6 0 4 4.3 6 -2 -2.1 0 4 5.9 7 -1   0 2   5 -2   -1 2   3
02-21-18 1 0.9 1 5 5.9 7 -1 -1.6 1 4 4.3 7 -2 -2.1 0 4 5.9 7 -1   0 2   4
02-20-18 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 8 1 0.9 2 5 5.9 7 -1 -1.6 0 4 4.3 7 -2 -2.1 0 4 5.9 7
02-19-18 6 6.5 6 12 8.7 8 4 -0.5 2 8 6.7 9 2 0.9 1 6 5.9 8 4 -1.6 1 6 4.3 7
02-18-18 5 5.5 6 10 10.2 12 7 6.5 7 8 8.7 9 2 -0.5 1 7 6.7 10 -1 0.9 2 6 5.9 8
02-17-18 1 -0.9 1 12 12.1 12 5 5.5 5 9 10.2 12 6 6.5 8 7 8.7 10 2 -0.5 3 6 6.7 8
02-16-18 6 -0.9 1 12 10.9 10 4 -0.9 2 8 12.1 10 2 5.5 7 6 10.2 13 4 6.5 6 6 8.7 9
02-15-18 1 -0.3 -1 9 10.6 10 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 11 2 -0.9 4 9 12.1 12 5 5.5 8 9 10.2 12
02-14-18 4 4.9 4 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 9 10.6 9 0 -0.9 1 10 10.9 10 3 -0.9 1 9 12.1 11
02-13-18 -1 2.7 0 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 10 0 -0.3 0 10 10.6 9 1 -0.9 2 11 10.9 9
02-12-18 2 0.4 2 4 6.1 7 -2 2.7 -1 7 6.8 8 5 4.9 5 9 11.3 9 -1 -0.3 0 9 10.6 10
02-11-18 -1 -0.9 -1 6 8.6 7 0 0.4 1 4 6.1 6 -2 2.7 -1 6 6.8 8 6 4.9 5 11 11.3 11
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 10 12 9 13 9 6 9 9 7 8 8 6 6 5 8 8
% Succ 76.9   92.3 69.2   100.0 75.0   50.0 75.0   75.0 63.6   72.7 72.7   54.5 60.0   50.0 80.0   80.0
Ave Error 1.6   1.2 1.3   1.1 1.6   1.7 1.4   1.3 1.6   1.7 1.5   1.8 2.1   1.8 1.3   1.3
Net Error 0.7   0.4 -0.5   0.3 0.6   1.0 -1.1   0.5 -0.0   1.1 -1.4   0.9 1.0   1.7 -1.0   0.5
Std Dev 1.8   0.8 1.0   0.5 1.7   1.2 1.2   0.9 1.3   1.4 1.4   1.3 1.9   1.4 1.1   1.0