WXSIM: Chelmer Village
Updated: Thursday, 23.11.2017 18:00
 
Tonight

Rain likely
Rain likely
Friday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Friday
night
Mostly Clear
Mostly Clear
Saturday

Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
Saturday
night
Clear
Clear
Sunday

Sunny
Sunny
Sunday
night
Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday

Chance rain
Chance rain
Monday
night
Mostly Cloudy
Mostly Cloudy
5 mm. 5 mm. 2 mm. <2 mm.
Low: 5° High: 8° Low: 1° High: 6° Low: 0° High: 6° Low: 3° High: 9° Low: 5°



























 

WeatherUnderground : Springfield
Friday Friday Night Saturday Saturday Night Sunday
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy Partly cloudy skies A mostly clear sky Clear
Partly cloudy Partly cloudy Partly cloudy skies A mostly clear sky Clear
8°C 0°C 6°C 1°C 7°C
         
Sunday Night Monday Monday Night Tuesday Tuesday Night
Partly to mostly cloudy Light rain early Mostly cloudy Chance rain Chance rain
Partly to mostly cloudy Light rain early Mostly cloudy Chance rain Chance rain
3°C 8°C 3°C 6°C 2°C
         

 

 

WXSIM & WU Forecast Comparison

National Weather Service (WU), Actual Observed (Act), WxSim Generated (WS)

Morning

Updated: 11-23-17 at 6:00 am
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C High Low High Low High Low High Low
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
11-23-17 11   11 4   3 8   8 -1   2 6   6 2   1 7   7 3   1
11-22-17 15 14.9 16 10 10 11 12   11 4   5 8   8 1   3 6   6 2   2
11-21-17 13 13.1 13 12 12.3 9 14 14.9 15 9 10 11 11   14 6   9 10   10 2   7
11-20-17 13 12.1 12 11 11.4 9 13 13.1 12 12 12.3 10 14 14.9 15 11 10 11 13   15 7   12
11-19-17 7 7.3 7 2 4.1 1 13 12.1 12 10 11.4 10 13 13.1 13 11 12.3 11 14 14.9 16 12 10 10
11-18-17 9 8.1 10 1 0.6 0 7 7.3 7 3 4.1 3 13 12.1 13 8 11.4 7 12 13.1 13 10 12.3 9
11-17-17 9 9 7 2 2.7 0 9 8.1 8 2 0.6 0 7 7.3 7 4 4.1 4 11 12.1 12 4 11.4 7
11-16-17 12 13.3 13 0 -1.3 1 9 9 8 1 2.7 0 8 8.1 7 2 0.6 1 8 7.3 6 3 4.1 1
11-15-17 12 12 13 8 8.1 7 12 13.3 13 1 -1.3 1 9 9 8 2 2.7 1 9 8.1 8 3 0.6 2
11-14-17 11 11.5 12 8 9.3 8 12 12 12 8 8.1 7 12 13.3 12 5 -1.3 6 9 9 8 3 2.7 3
11-13-17 7 7.8 7 1 2.5 1 11 11.5 12 8 9.3 7 12 12 13 8 8.1 7 12 13.3 13 6 -1.3 2
11-12-17 7 7.6 7 1 1.8 1 7 7.8 7 2 2.5 2 11 11.5 11 8 9.3 7 12 12 12 7 8.1 5
11-11-17 9 9.6 10 3 5.3 2 7 7.6 7 0 1.8 1 6 7.8 7 2 2.5 2 12 11.5 11 7 9.3 5
11-10-17 11 11.2 11 6 6.3 5 9 9.6 10 3 5.3 2 7 7.6 7 0 1.8 1 6 7.8 6 2 2.5 3
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 13 13 11 7 12 12 10 7 11 11 9 8 10 10 5 4
% Succ 100.0   100.0 84.6   53.8 100.0   100.0 83.3   58.3 100.0   100.0 81.8   72.7 100.0   100.0 50.0   40.0
Ave Error 0.5   0.7 0.9   1.9 0.6   0.4 1.3   1.6 0.6   0.7 1.6   1.9 0.8   0.6 2.7   2.4
Net Error -0.2   0.0 -0.6   -1.4 -0.3   -0.3 -0.7   -1.1 -0.4   -0.3 -0.0   -0.3 -0.4   -0.4 -0.3   -1.3
Std Dev 0.4   0.6 0.7   1.1 0.5   0.4 0.8   1.0 0.5   0.5 1.9   2.2 0.6   0.6 2.4   2.0

Afternoon

Updated: 11-23-17 at 6:00 pm
Goal Forecast Day Day +1 Day +2 Day +3
± 2.0° C Low High Low High Low High Low High
Date WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
11-23-17 4   5 8   8 0   1 6   6 1   0 7   6 3   3 8   9
11-22-17 10 10 11 12 10.8 11 4   4 8   8 1   2 6   6 2   1 7   7
11-21-17 12 12.3 11 14 14.9 15 8 10 11 11 10.8 12 5   5 9   12 1   3 6   6
11-20-17 11 11.4 10 13 13.1 13 12 12.3 10 15 14.9 15 8 10 11 12 10.8 15 7   11 11   13
11-19-17 3 4.1 2 13 12.1 12 11 11.4 9 13 13.1 13 12 12.3 8 14 14.9 15 12 10 11 13 10.8 15
11-18-17 1 0.6 0 7 7.3 7 3 4.1 3 13 12.1 12 9 11.4 7 13 13.1 13 11 12.3 9 14 14.9 15
11-17-17 2 2.7 0 9 8.1 8 1 0.6 0 7 7.3 7 3 4.1 3 12 12.1 12 6 11.4 7 12 13.1 13
11-16-17 0 -1.3 0 9 9 8 2 2.7 0 8 8.1 8 2 0.6 1 7 7.3 7 3 4.1 4 11 12.1 12
11-15-17 8 8.1 7 12 13.3 13 0 -1.3 1 9 9 8 2 2.7 1 9 8.1 9 2 0.6 1 8 7.3 7
11-14-17 8 9.3 6 12 12 12 8 8.1 5 12 13.3 12 2 -1.3 3 9 9 8 2 2.7 1 8 8.1 9
11-13-17 2 2.5 2 11 11.5 11 9 9.3 8 12 12 13 8 8.1 8 12 13.3 13 4 -1.3 2 9 9 8
11-12-17 1 1.8 1 7 7.8 7 1 2.5 1 11 11.5 10 8 9.3 8 12 12 13 7 8.1 7 12 13.3 12
11-11-17 4 5.3 4 7 7.6 7 0 1.8 1 7 7.8 7 2 2.5 2 11 11.5 11 8 9.3 5 12 12 12
11-10-17 6 6.3 5 9 9.6 10 3 5.3 1 7 7.6 7 0 1.8 1 6 7.8 7 2 2.5 2 12 11.5 12
Results WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS WU Act WS
# Succ 13 10 13 13 11 6 12 12 9 8 11 10 8 6 9 9
% Succ 100.0   76.9 100.0   100.0 91.7   50.0 100.0   100.0 81.8   72.7 100.0   90.9 80.0   60.0 90.0   90.0
Ave Error 0.7   1.4 0.6   0.3 1.0   2.0 0.4   0.7 1.4   1.8 0.6   0.8 2.0   2.0 0.8   0.9
Net Error -0.4   -1.1 -0.2   -0.2 -0.7   -1.4 -0.2   -0.3 -0.5   -0.8 -0.3   0.3 -0.3   -1.1 -0.1   0.3
Std Dev 0.5   0.9 0.4   0.3 0.7   1.1 0.4   0.6 1.1   1.8 0.5   1.2 1.8   1.8 0.7   1.3